Since the major indices are still well below their June highs, a quick and easy way to spot ETFs with relative strength is to seek those which are already at or above their June highs. Such ETFs could be showing leadership, positioned to outperform subsequent gains in the broad market.
The risk/reward ratio for US equities has now tipped from being favorable to being more risky, and Clive Corcoran has decided to exit all of his net long exposure to equities and also to the FX carry trade.
Private sector debt is much greater than public sector debt. So when people begin to pay it down, it has a big effect on everything. Jobs disappear. Prices fall. Businesses go broke.
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