Clive M. Corcoran is based in London and has been an active trader for many years on both sides of the Atlantic. He is a trading software developer and consultant, and focuses on risk reduction and market neutral strategies for portfolio managers. His book Long/Short Market Dynamics: Trading Strategies for Today’s Markets was published by Wiley in early 2007 and his articles have appeared in Traders Magazine and Active Trader. He is an acknowledged communicator on the capital markets and has been a featured speaker at trading expos and workshops. He is the publisher and editor of a daily market analysis which is published at www.tradewithform.com. He can be reached at clive.corcoran@tradewithform.com.
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The daily chart for Bank of America (BAC) captures the anxiety that many fund managers have about the deteriorating appetites of previously robust US consumers.
The S&P 500 futures index has now closed below a key trend line. There is a strong likelihood, in Clive Corcoran's estimation, that 1280 now needs to be robustly tested.
There are cross currents in the markets that Clive Corcoran follows which are suggesting that today’s action during the North American session could be erratic and directionless.
Global equities are now coming under considerable pressure as asset managers are preferring to "hide out" in global government bonds rather than take on more risky assets.
The bipolarity which characterizes the new normal in investing encourages Clive Corcoran to sell rallies in equities rather than hold long positions overnight.
The continuing weak economic data coming out of the US is actually supportive of higher equity prices, and the S&P 500 futures have made quite significant progress since the close of North American trading last Friday.
The risks from another financial accident in the Eurozone remain high, so outright long positions in US equities are not on Clive Corcoran's agenda for the time being.
DBC, a sector fund tracking overall commodity prices, shows that bearish flag/pullback patterns are in evidence, which translates into an overall trading stance of seeing all rallies as opportunities to build new short positions.
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