Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and Morpheus Trading Group, a trader education firm launched in 2001 that provides daily technical analysis of the leading ETFs and stocks. Mr. Wagner teaches his trading methodology to nearly 3,000 subscribers of his free weekly newsletter, The Wagner Weekly, and is also well-known in the trading community for his subscription-based newsletter, The Wagner Daily, which provides daily technical analysis of ETFs and educational broad market commentary. In addition to publishing his daily commentary and analysis through Morpheus Trading Group, his work appears daily on several popular financial web sites.
Mr. Wagner also appears on his best-selling video, Sector Trading Strategies (Marketplace Books, June 2002), and is co-author of both The Long-Term Day Trader (Career Press, April 2000) and The After-Hours Trader (McGraw Hill, August 2000). He is also a regular contributor to Stock Futures and Options magazine, and has also written for Active Trader magazine. Past television appearances include CNBC, ABC, and Yahoo! FinanceVision. He is a frequent guest speaker at various trading and financial conferences around the world and can be reached by sending an e-mail to deron@morpheustrading.com or by visiting MorpheusTrading.com.
Odds now clearly favor the short side in the intermediate-term, but we could easily see a decent relief rally before moving much lower in the short-term.
The major indices will eventually find areas of price support and stabilize, but it's dangerous to try to pick a bottom when the broad market has not even given any signals that the heavy selling is finished.
For the intermediate-term, Deron Wagner has shifted from bullish to a neutral bias, pending the outcome of whether or not the Nasdaq and Dow hold above their June highs.
The major indices have entered into a choppy, indecisive range over the past week. Below current prices, clear support for the major indices is at the intraday lows of July 20.
Deron Wagner is going to focus on individual sectors with relative strength or weakness, rather than the more common and less predictable broad-based ETFs.
The late-day reversal on Wednesday and closing prices near their intraday highs calls into question the true amount of institutional selling that took place.
The reaction to the onslaught of corporate earnings reports on tap over the next week will be the biggest determinant of whether or not last week's rally will hold up.
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