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The Odds Czar: Index Futures Biases for December 18
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Professional system trader Art Collins shares his daily biases in the index, bonds and currency futures markets for December 18.
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Win-Win Capitalism
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Now we have Win-Win Capitalism. It’s the system where no one loses. Since around 1980, investors have come to see capitalism as a benign force. It makes people rich, if they can only get enough of it.
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US Dollar Rally Continues But Momentum Slows
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The US dollar continued to rally to fresh two-month highs against the euro and other major currencies, as traders showed little willingness to hold onto dollar shorts ahead of year-end celebrations.
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Will USD/CAD Break Parity on Tuesday’s Canadian CPI Data?
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If Tuesday’s inflation data proves to be unexpected, the Canadian dollar is likely to respond immediately, though its reaction may be more severe in the case of an upside surprise.
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Things That Go Bump in the Night
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This week John Mauldin worries about enhanced cash funds, an inflation rate over 4 percent, and the danger of the Fed losing what little control it does have.
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To Err Is Human
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Now we're blaming the Chinese for the increase in the price of Christmas trees?
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Dollar Strength Could Continue as Current Account Shrinks
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With capital flows one of the main issues dogging the dollar, an improvement in the Current Account status could be of help to the dollar and may push EUR/USD further below the key 1.4500 level.
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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
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Lawrence G. McMillan reviews the options market in his weekly column for December 14.
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The Light Charge of the Fed Brigade
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Here come the central bankers, ready to ride into battle. But against what? Inflation? Or deflation? Against the unstoppable force, or the immoveable object? For the moment, they regard the artillery of deflation as the greater worry. So Bernanke fired a weak volley in that direction on Tuesday. The markets fired back, saying the Fed wasn’t using enough firepower.
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Dollar Could Gain on Friday's Hot CPI Data
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If the CPI data prints event hotter than the already elevated market expectations, it may temper any further rate cut expectations from the Fed as the inflationary pressures may outweigh concerns about the slowdown in the US economy.
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