The strength of the greenback has been all the more surprising given the dismal status of the US economy, but since the currency has managed to hold on to its status as a "safe haven" asset, fundamentals frankly do not matter at this juncture.
Wading through Paulson's assessment of the situation so far, the real meat of the official's statement came through his plans for ongoing priorities to help stabilize the markets and economy.
A year ago, many economists and traders believed the US financial crisis would stay within the boarders of the world’s largest economy and other countries would be immune to the economic consequences. However, today’s side-by-side Bank of England and European Central Bank rate decisions have certainly banished any lingering skepticism that Europe was feeling the pinch of a broad recession and ongoing difficulty in the financial and credit markets.
Now with the Fed Funds rate matching its lowest level since the Bretton Woods pact collapsed, we can see speculation beginning to take a hawkish turn through further months.
While liquidity fears have been quenched by unlimited access to dollar funds, sharp interest rate cuts and global bailout efforts, the markets have merely passed through one phase of a much broader financial crisis.
The markets were prepared for the 50 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve today, but can further easing turn the dollar’s three-month and multi-thousand point trend?
The demand for liquidity and security has sent panicked investors to the US dollar. However, with the world’s largest economy wading slowly into a recession and interest rate speculation pointing towards the lowest returns from US assets in history, how long can the greenback’s rally last?
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