We got clipped on our EUR/USD short just a few points from the highs before the market reversed and headed back below our short entries. The markets are running at less than normal volume levels in here, so stop run moves by the big players are just a cost of doing business. The move above 1.3160 technically invalidated our wave count, but the market still feels heavy with old longs that could hit the eject button ahead of the year-end. A big step back to get a look at the daily chart shows a very simple parallel uptrend channel that is dancing on the edge of collapse. While the market trades around such critical, and obvious, technical levels price action should be expected to remain choppy. I still believe the market is headed lower, but an entry at current levels does not offer any reasonable spot for stop placement keeping our risk-to-reward ratio inline. So for now, I am going to step aside until another quality setup presents itself.


Todd Gordon is a Technical Currency Strategist and Fund Trader with GAIN Capital Group.
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