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Dow in Bullish Continuation Pattern
By Mike Paulenoff | Published  12/11/2006 | Stocks | Unrated
Dow in Bullish Continuation Pattern

Here is a look of the condensed DIA hourly chart, which shows the June-July bottom, followed by the 45-degree angled â,"railroad tracksâ, that comprised a very powerful uptrend between mid-August and late-November -- followed by nearly 3 weeks of sideways action that resembles a â,"miniâ, version of the June-July pattern.

Right now, my sense from the pattern and the underlying oscillators is that the 3-week pattern represents a bullish continuation period, that will resolve itself in a thrust to new highs that projects next into the 125-126 target zone.  At this juncture, only a decline that breaks the 120.80/70 support plateau will wreck the pattern and morph the 3-week period into a very significant top to the July-December upleg.

Furthermore, a break of Fridayâ,"s low at 122.32 will trigger a preliminary alert that a decline towards 120.80/70 is gaining traction.  Barring such weakness, the bulls remain in directional control, looking to ignite a thrust to new highs -- perhaps in the aftermath of the FOMC meeting tomorrow afternoon.

Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical chart analysis and trading alerts on all major markets. For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a free 15-Day trial to his MPTrader Diary by clicking here.