The dollar gapped about 60 points lower (EUR/USD higher, USD/JPY lower) from Friday's close at the 5:00 p.m. ET open. Our focus levels will continue to be 1.3225 in EUR/USD and 115.25 in USD/JPY. A test of 115.25 will setup a bullish Gartley buy pattern in USD/JPY.
The hourly shows a nice 5-wave move down projected to end at the 2.618 multiple of wave 1 at 115.10. I am currently bidding in thirds to work into a long position at 115.32, 22, and 12 with stops around 114.95. Keep in mind there was a sizable 35-point gap that traders will likely want to close as they work out of last week's positions. USD/JPY went out at 115.85 on Friday, which will serve as our initial take profit and stop move level.


Todd Gordon is a Technical Currency Strategist and Fund Trader with GAIN Capital Group.
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