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NFP Sends Dollar Higher Before Reversing All Gains
By Todd Gordon | Published  09/1/2006 | Currency | Unrated
NFP Sends Dollar Higher Before Reversing All Gains

The sloppy price action continues in the dollar pairs after a generally as expected payrolls number initially sent the dollar moderately higher before giving back all the gains and then some. We were stopped in EUR/JPY last night on a stop run move below 150.00, which should never have happened in the first place. I got too anxious with the .618 projection of A-B down from C to D at 150.05. The real level was the full 1.0 projection at 149.64 which corresponded perfectly with .618 retracement of B-C. I even had a reader email me to say â,"what about that 149.64 level?â, Taking a mistake like that home over the weekend is really annoying. Well, at least readers are learning to see the levels for themselves, which tells me I'm doing a good job.

So EUR/JPY only traded about 3 points below the 149.64 Fib support zone before climbing almost 100 points in three hours. This is a wonderful chart to keep for further reference about markets respecting solid technical levels in volatile, news-driven markets. The stock market is quickly re-approaching May highs as the bond market continues its amazing run, both bullish scenarios for the EUR/USD going into next week.

Todd Gordon is a Technical Currency Strategist and Fund Trader with GAIN Capital Group.

Disclaimer
The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.