Heading into the final two hours of trading, the SPY's are rallying off of a test of yesterday's low at 124.67. At this juncture, only continued strength that hurdles the prior intraday rally peak at 126.75 will trigger important buy signals that will argue against another last hour reverse and capitulation. And although my work certainly shows the requisite underlying oscillator conditions to support a potent recovery rally in this brutal tape, I will believe it when I see it

Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical chart analysis and trading alerts on all major markets. For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a free 15-Day trial to his MPTrader Diary by clicking here.