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Forex Strategy of the Day for April 20
By Todd Gordon | Published  04/20/2006 | Currency | Unrated
Forex Strategy of the Day for April 20

It was just incredible trading yesterday, packed with more action than we have seen in some time. Our EUR/USD trend channel pullback trade to the 1.2300 level pushed our 1.2280 stops to the brink with a nice 82 low before rocketing higher to a 1.2396 high before the close of business in New York. Keep in mind that our yearly defining resistance level of 1.2420-40 remains.

Corresponding to the spectacular EUR/USD 1.2400 failure was USD/CHF at a 1.2650 low, which I consider to be one of the best technical setups you will ever see. You have four separate technical arguments to be long USD/CHF. First, the bottom end of the big parallel downtrend channel. Second, our textbook 1.0 projected measured move, AB=CD. Third, 1.618 Fib extension of move BC. And last, there is the severe positive divergence of the 9-period RSI. Like I wrote, it was a busy day yesterday if you were in front of the screens with levels prepared ahead of time.

Let's look for continuation higher from the 1.2650 low after the 2-day resistance level 1.2775 gives way. I would wait for a confirmed break and a subsequent pullback towards 1.2775 to be on the bid for a ride up to swing point high 1.2815. The break of 1.2775 should correspond with a critical 1.2315 EUR/USD breakdown. We shorted EUR/USD into yesterday's uptrend channel retest at 1.2345 this morning after the 1.2400 failure and am targeting yesterday's 1.2290 lows.

Todd Gordon is a Technical Currency Strategist and Fund Trader with GAIN Capital Group.

Disclaimer
The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.