Todd Gordon writes that EUR/JPY could be a decent short.
Looking at our usual suspects, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/JPY, I can make a case for lower prices in all three. EUR/JPY has the cleanest wave count, but has retraced the most of the 900-point meltdown, indicating relative strength. USD/JPY has retraced the least of its move down from last night, indicating relative weakness, but is showing the least clear wave count. And EUR/USD has been the dog of the last week with a decent count, but lousy price dynamics. I have been scalping this market to pieces in the last three days, but have not really taken a position. Basically, I find myself at a technical crossroad.
EUR/JPY should be a decent short while below 155.40, but a move back towards the 156.00 breakdown point could be in the cards. I am opting to sit on my hands tonight and watch price action develop. If you like the EUR/JPY trade idea, look to keep stops around 155.55, and take partial profits at 154.60 channel support.
Todd Gordon is a Technical Currency Strategist and Fund Trader with GAIN Capital Group.
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